Trump-Xi Summit Polymarket Odds: Can 93% Deal Hopes Hold?

Polymarket odds indicated roughly a 93% probability that the Trump-Xi summit would produce a deal, reflecting strong market optimism about progress on U.S.-China trade tensions. The key uncertainty was whether the expected agreement would be substantive and durable or merely a temporary political truce. For Bitcoin, a credible deal could reduce safe-haven demand and near-term volatility, while a breakdown would likely reinforce risk-off sentiment and potentially support demand for Bitcoin as an alternative asset.