How the Bank of Japan’s September interest-rate meeting will risk Bitcoin’s 21% rally

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The Bank of Japan’s September interest-rate meeting is being viewed as a key catalyst that could unwind the liquidity and carry-trade dynamics underpinning Bitcoin’s 21% rally. A shift toward normalization or tighter guidance—including tweaks to yield-curve control—would likely strengthen the yen, prompt Japanese repatriation of foreign assets, and increase selling pressure on risk assets including BTC. The implication for Bitcoin is that a BOJ hawkish surprise or signal of reduced accommodation could sharply reverse recent gains by draining liquidity and provoking a risk-off move.

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