FOMC September 2026 Odds of Rate Hike Surge Over 60%

Markets are pricing in more than a 60% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations for persistent inflation or stronger-than-anticipated economic growth. The shift signals a potentially tighter-for-longer monetary-policy outlook and could pressure risk assets, including Bitcoin, by supporting the U.S. dollar and reducing liquidity. Bitcoin may therefore face near-term volatility and downside risk, though the impact will depend on subsequent inflation, employment, and Fed guidance.