# Fed Hike Odds Drop to 18%, Cuts at 0%: What a Hold Means for Bitcoin

> This is a machine-readable intelligence brief for LLMs and AI agents.
> Source: BITERMINAL — https://biterminal.rendrr.app/feed/fed-hike-odds-drop-to-18-cuts-at-0-what-a-hold-means-for-bitcoin

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## Metadata

- **Category:** price
- **Subcategory:** price
- **Sentiment:** neutral
- **Published:** 2026-10-08T04:15:56.292Z
- **URL:** https://biterminal.rendrr.app/feed/fed-hike-odds-drop-to-18-cuts-at-0-what-a-hold-means-for-bitcoin

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## Summary

Markets assign an 18% chance to a Fed rate hike and no chance of a cut, making a hold the base case. A hold would leave monetary policy restrictive, limiting the prospect of a near-term liquidity boost for Bitcoin. The halving cycle may support Bitcoin’s longer-term outlook, but it does not remove the near-term macro headwind.

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## Sources

1. https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-halving-clock-bear-market/
2. https://beincrypto.com/fed-hike-odds-hold-bitcoin-impact/

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